There's no CPI inside the 19th century.

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Posted on: 01/05/16
There's no CPI inside the 19th century. Most economic statistics date from following a Great Depression. Governments decided they desired to "manage" the economy, also to do so they generated plenty of new statistics. The Consumer Price Index, as everyone knows it, began being compiled with the Bureau of Labor Statistics in 1940.

Prior compared to that, starting in 1919, the BLS compiled a wholesale price index, with backdating to 1914. Before 1914, the most frequent price index known today could be the Warren Pearson Index, that's an index of raw commodity prices in New York City not nationwide, going back to 1750. Sixtytwo per cent in the Warren Pearson Index contains food and farm prices.

Building materials mostly lumber, fuel and metals added another 18%. The remainder will be a smattering of textiles, hides and leather, spirits together with other minor items. This was hardly any like today's CPI, that's dominated by things like rent, healthcare, and education. Indeed, nearly all what the Warren Pearson Index includes is expressly excluded within the "exfood and fuel" versions in the CPI today.

The Warren Pearson Index most resembles today's CRB Commodity Index, that's highly volatile. The second fallacy is always to ascribe all changes inside the Warren Pearson commodity index WPCI to changes inside the value of money gold, rather than changes inside the value of commodities, as measured in the currency of stable value.

First of, we have to probably overlook the wartime periods, notably the First World War as well as the Napoleonic Wars period 17951820. You would expect that to affect commodity prices. During times of peace, once the WPCI falls 20%, perhaps due to a large crop of wheat and corn, we're told to visualize this implies that gold's value increased by 20%, resulting in the monetary "deflation.

This makes no sense whatsoever. Maybe it was merely a decline inside the value of corn, as measured in the currency of stable value. We are also led to assume this 20% decline in commodity prices is supposed being equivalent for the kind of economic event that could cause a 20% decline within the current CPI, which might be very dramatic.

But, that wasn't the problem at all.In this discussion, the timeframe that tends within the future under greatest scrutiny could be the period from around 1880 to 1910. Commodity prices did indeed fall having a significant amount inside the 18801895 period, such that numerous farmers were struggling. In the presidential election of 1896, the Democratic Party wished to devalue the Dollar by about 50% via "free coinage of silver," which might raise nominal commodity prices and enable farmers to stay their debts easier.

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